Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:30 PM, 286 voters in 34 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 225,208 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 192,541 - 245,207). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	2:30 PM	3229	c(2.5% = 2750)	c(97.5% = 3560)
02	2:30 PM	5055	c(2.5% = 4337)	c(97.5% = 5517)
03	2:30 PM	3009	c(2.5% = 2437)	c(97.5% = 3480)
04	2:30 PM	2971	c(2.5% = 2428)	c(97.5% = 3441)
05	2:30 PM	7382	c(2.5% = 6148)	c(97.5% = 8176)
06	2:30 PM	2010	c(2.5% = 1641)	c(97.5% = 2226)
07	2:30 PM	1827	c(2.5% = 1182)	c(97.5% = 2287)
08	2:30 PM	6788	c(2.5% = 5799)	c(97.5% = 7438)
09	2:30 PM	3448	c(2.5% = 2967)	c(97.5% = 3969)
10	2:30 PM	4402	c(2.5% = 3449)	c(97.5% = 5028)
11	2:30 PM	1907	c(2.5% = 1543)	c(97.5% = 2266)
12	2:30 PM	3276	c(2.5% = 2615)	c(97.5% = 3724)
13	2:30 PM	2957	c(2.5% = 2374)	c(97.5% = 3426)
14	2:30 PM	1284	c(2.5% = 1074)	c(97.5% = 1388)
15	2:30 PM	3637	c(2.5% = 3147)	c(97.5% = 4063)
16	2:30 PM	1579	c(2.5% = 1248)	c(97.5% = 1892)
17	2:30 PM	3637	c(2.5% = 2944)	c(97.5% = 4211)
18	2:30 PM	3140	c(2.5% = 2528)	c(97.5% = 3353)
19	2:30 PM	1490	c(2.5% = 1069)	c(97.5% = 1750)
20	2:30 PM	1381	c(2.5% = 995)	c(97.5% = 1616)
21	2:30 PM	8048	c(2.5% = 6860)	c(97.5% = 8982)
22	2:30 PM	4696	c(2.5% = 3897)	c(97.5% = 5263)
23	2:30 PM	2624	c(2.5% = 2107)	c(97.5% = 2919)
24	2:30 PM	2190	c(2.5% = 1742)	c(97.5% = 2470)
25	2:30 PM	2094	c(2.5% = 1565)	c(97.5% = 2491)
26	2:30 PM	3139	c(2.5% = 2629)	c(97.5% = 3411)
27	2:30 PM	3426	c(2.5% = 2512)	c(97.5% = 4955)
28	2:30 PM	1691	c(2.5% = 1318)	c(97.5% = 2040)
29	2:30 PM	1681	c(2.5% = 1412)	c(97.5% = 1885)
30	2:30 PM	3219	c(2.5% = 2728)	c(97.5% = 3538)
31	2:30 PM	2710	c(2.5% = 2137)	c(97.5% = 2947)
32	2:30 PM	2754	c(2.5% = 2209)	c(97.5% = 3172)
33	2:30 PM	2132	c(2.5% = 1383)	c(97.5% = 2651)
34	2:30 PM	6165	c(2.5% = 5108)	c(97.5% = 6821)
35	2:30 PM	3986	c(2.5% = 3047)	c(97.5% = 4414)
36	2:30 PM	5012	c(2.5% = 4275)	c(97.5% = 5319)
37	2:30 PM	1775	c(2.5% = 1415)	c(97.5% = 2095)
38	2:30 PM	3036	c(2.5% = 2625)	c(97.5% = 3316)
39	2:30 PM	6026	c(2.5% = 5252)	c(97.5% = 6505)
40	2:30 PM	6210	c(2.5% = 4985)	c(97.5% = 6730)
41	2:30 PM	2411	c(2.5% = 1821)	c(97.5% = 2785)
42	2:30 PM	3050	c(2.5% = 2159)	c(97.5% = 3491)
43	2:30 PM	2411	c(2.5% = 1783)	c(97.5% = 2765)
44	2:30 PM	1995	c(2.5% = 1625)	c(97.5% = 2304)
45	2:30 PM	2667	c(2.5% = 2061)	c(97.5% = 3086)
46	2:30 PM	3823	c(2.5% = 3215)	c(97.5% = 4204)
47	2:30 PM	1178	c(2.5% = 966)	c(97.5% = 1277)
48	2:30 PM	2747	c(2.5% = 2231)	c(97.5% = 3011)
49	2:30 PM	3585	c(2.5% = 2968)	c(97.5% = 3991)
50	2:30 PM	5185	c(2.5% = 4170)	c(97.5% = 5856)
51	2:30 PM	3232	c(2.5% = 2612)	c(97.5% = 3730)
52	2:30 PM	4056	c(2.5% = 3338)	c(97.5% = 4678)
53	2:30 PM	2690	c(2.5% = 2103)	c(97.5% = 3030)
54	2:30 PM	1889	c(2.5% = 1312)	c(97.5% = 2307)
55	2:30 PM	3131	c(2.5% = 2321)	c(97.5% = 3556)
56	2:30 PM	4570	c(2.5% = 3563)	c(97.5% = 5139)
57	2:30 PM	3966	c(2.5% = 3164)	c(97.5% = 4413)
58	2:30 PM	6552	c(2.5% = 5228)	c(97.5% = 7480)
59	2:30 PM	3496	c(2.5% = 2839)	c(97.5% = 3918)
60	2:30 PM	2788	c(2.5% = 2270)	c(97.5% = 3176)
61	2:30 PM	4136	c(2.5% = 3387)	c(97.5% = 4496)
62	2:30 PM	2878	c(2.5% = 2111)	c(97.5% = 3325)
63	2:30 PM	3821	c(2.5% = 3247)	c(97.5% = 4139)
64	2:30 PM	2159	c(2.5% = 1671)	c(97.5% = 2389)
65	2:30 PM	3170	c(2.5% = 2562)	c(97.5% = 3446)
66	2:30 PM	6598	c(2.5% = 5500)	c(97.5% = 7288)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105
11:22 AM	1503	156
9:02 AM	0120	63
8:10 AM	0819	60
11:29 AM	0213	47
9:15 AM	0904	69
11:30 AM	3914	140
11:30 AM	4920	110
10:00 AM	3945	156
11:00 AM	0102	111
11:00 AM	0108	105
11:00 AM	0109	89
11:00 AM	0107	54
11:30 AM	0833	124
11:00 AM	0104	120
7:50 AM	4622	31
11:00 AM	0105	47
11:30 AM	1810	140
11:39 AM	0834	106
11:32 AM	0116	99
11:43 AM	0537	122
11:43 AM	0501	99
11:45 AM	2702	88
11:40 AM	4808	118
11:53 AM	0528	194
11:45 AM	1815	121
11:45 AM	1816	192
11:45 AM	1817	193
11:45 AM	0217	111
11:50 AM	3610	112
11:50 AM	0217	112
12:00 PM	3637	153
12:00 PM	3638	118
9:40 AM	0218	88
12:05 PM	0110	127
9:20 AM	0803	123
9:22 AM	0803	125
11:00 AM	0209	104
7:22 AM	0506	9
12:01 PM	0101	96
12:01 PM	0103	164
12:00 PM	2125	127
12:01 PM	0107	69
12:01 PM	0110	127
12:01 PM	0114	128
12:01 PM	0115	191
12:01 PM	0117	175
12:01 PM	0119	166
12:15 PM	1503	175
12:01 PM	0121	160
10:00 AM	2702	65
12:15 PM	4903	216
7:01 AM	1511	17
12:02 PM	0526	182
12:29 PM	3103	175
12:29 PM	3113	151
10:47 AM	1507	1
12:38 PM	1716	80
11:00 AM	6522	121
12:38 PM	0528	208
12:38 PM	0528	208
11:00 AM	0120	127
12:23 PM	6008	80
7:40 AM	6509	22
8:00 AM	4618	32
12:50 PM	0525	121
12:02 PM	0831	123
12:30 PM	3007	161
12:30 PM	5217	120
12:55 PM	4002	146
7:25 AM	0532	35
12:40 PM	0529	58
1:04 PM	1902	128
1:05 PM	1903	72
1:05 PM	1904	81
1:02 PM	2702	100
1:12 PM	0834	113
8:20 AM	0810	66
12:29 PM	3113	151
1:00 PM	3609	112
7:01 AM	2122	20
1:20 PM	1514	117
1:25 PM	3006	141
1:30 PM	3914	175
1:29 PM	4320	120
1:30 PM	0517	194
11:10 AM	3105	1
1:30 PM	2701	119
7:45 AM	4616	34
9:15 AM	4125	74
1:43 PM	1717	115
1:43 PM	0537	130
1:45 PM	0817	166
8:30 AM	2605	76
1:43 PM	0501	133
1:45 PM	0818	88
1:43 PM	1717	115
10:40 AM	1510	121
1:45 PM	1810	188
1:48 PM	3943	160
1:51 PM	3637	170
1:52 PM	3638	137
1:45 PM	1817	238
2:00 PM	3103	194
9:00 AM	2719	1
2:05 PM	4701	166
1:45 PM	2911	109
8:00 AM	0510	63
10:30 AM	3942	90
8:00 AM	4616	49
2:25 PM	6414	114
2:27 PM	0834	124
2:28 PM	1810	216
2:28 PM	1503	202
2:30 PM	1802	139
2:30 PM	2706	220
2:30 PM	1801	204

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions