Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:30 PM, 286 voters in 34 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 225,208 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 192,541 - 245,207). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 2:30 PM 3229 c(2.5% = 2750) c(97.5% = 3560)
02 2:30 PM 5055 c(2.5% = 4337) c(97.5% = 5517)
03 2:30 PM 3009 c(2.5% = 2437) c(97.5% = 3480)
04 2:30 PM 2971 c(2.5% = 2428) c(97.5% = 3441)
05 2:30 PM 7382 c(2.5% = 6148) c(97.5% = 8176)
06 2:30 PM 2010 c(2.5% = 1641) c(97.5% = 2226)
07 2:30 PM 1827 c(2.5% = 1182) c(97.5% = 2287)
08 2:30 PM 6788 c(2.5% = 5799) c(97.5% = 7438)
09 2:30 PM 3448 c(2.5% = 2967) c(97.5% = 3969)
10 2:30 PM 4402 c(2.5% = 3449) c(97.5% = 5028)
11 2:30 PM 1907 c(2.5% = 1543) c(97.5% = 2266)
12 2:30 PM 3276 c(2.5% = 2615) c(97.5% = 3724)
13 2:30 PM 2957 c(2.5% = 2374) c(97.5% = 3426)
14 2:30 PM 1284 c(2.5% = 1074) c(97.5% = 1388)
15 2:30 PM 3637 c(2.5% = 3147) c(97.5% = 4063)
16 2:30 PM 1579 c(2.5% = 1248) c(97.5% = 1892)
17 2:30 PM 3637 c(2.5% = 2944) c(97.5% = 4211)
18 2:30 PM 3140 c(2.5% = 2528) c(97.5% = 3353)
19 2:30 PM 1490 c(2.5% = 1069) c(97.5% = 1750)
20 2:30 PM 1381 c(2.5% = 995) c(97.5% = 1616)
21 2:30 PM 8048 c(2.5% = 6860) c(97.5% = 8982)
22 2:30 PM 4696 c(2.5% = 3897) c(97.5% = 5263)
23 2:30 PM 2624 c(2.5% = 2107) c(97.5% = 2919)
24 2:30 PM 2190 c(2.5% = 1742) c(97.5% = 2470)
25 2:30 PM 2094 c(2.5% = 1565) c(97.5% = 2491)
26 2:30 PM 3139 c(2.5% = 2629) c(97.5% = 3411)
27 2:30 PM 3426 c(2.5% = 2512) c(97.5% = 4955)
28 2:30 PM 1691 c(2.5% = 1318) c(97.5% = 2040)
29 2:30 PM 1681 c(2.5% = 1412) c(97.5% = 1885)
30 2:30 PM 3219 c(2.5% = 2728) c(97.5% = 3538)
31 2:30 PM 2710 c(2.5% = 2137) c(97.5% = 2947)
32 2:30 PM 2754 c(2.5% = 2209) c(97.5% = 3172)
33 2:30 PM 2132 c(2.5% = 1383) c(97.5% = 2651)
34 2:30 PM 6165 c(2.5% = 5108) c(97.5% = 6821)
35 2:30 PM 3986 c(2.5% = 3047) c(97.5% = 4414)
36 2:30 PM 5012 c(2.5% = 4275) c(97.5% = 5319)
37 2:30 PM 1775 c(2.5% = 1415) c(97.5% = 2095)
38 2:30 PM 3036 c(2.5% = 2625) c(97.5% = 3316)
39 2:30 PM 6026 c(2.5% = 5252) c(97.5% = 6505)
40 2:30 PM 6210 c(2.5% = 4985) c(97.5% = 6730)
41 2:30 PM 2411 c(2.5% = 1821) c(97.5% = 2785)
42 2:30 PM 3050 c(2.5% = 2159) c(97.5% = 3491)
43 2:30 PM 2411 c(2.5% = 1783) c(97.5% = 2765)
44 2:30 PM 1995 c(2.5% = 1625) c(97.5% = 2304)
45 2:30 PM 2667 c(2.5% = 2061) c(97.5% = 3086)
46 2:30 PM 3823 c(2.5% = 3215) c(97.5% = 4204)
47 2:30 PM 1178 c(2.5% = 966) c(97.5% = 1277)
48 2:30 PM 2747 c(2.5% = 2231) c(97.5% = 3011)
49 2:30 PM 3585 c(2.5% = 2968) c(97.5% = 3991)
50 2:30 PM 5185 c(2.5% = 4170) c(97.5% = 5856)
51 2:30 PM 3232 c(2.5% = 2612) c(97.5% = 3730)
52 2:30 PM 4056 c(2.5% = 3338) c(97.5% = 4678)
53 2:30 PM 2690 c(2.5% = 2103) c(97.5% = 3030)
54 2:30 PM 1889 c(2.5% = 1312) c(97.5% = 2307)
55 2:30 PM 3131 c(2.5% = 2321) c(97.5% = 3556)
56 2:30 PM 4570 c(2.5% = 3563) c(97.5% = 5139)
57 2:30 PM 3966 c(2.5% = 3164) c(97.5% = 4413)
58 2:30 PM 6552 c(2.5% = 5228) c(97.5% = 7480)
59 2:30 PM 3496 c(2.5% = 2839) c(97.5% = 3918)
60 2:30 PM 2788 c(2.5% = 2270) c(97.5% = 3176)
61 2:30 PM 4136 c(2.5% = 3387) c(97.5% = 4496)
62 2:30 PM 2878 c(2.5% = 2111) c(97.5% = 3325)
63 2:30 PM 3821 c(2.5% = 3247) c(97.5% = 4139)
64 2:30 PM 2159 c(2.5% = 1671) c(97.5% = 2389)
65 2:30 PM 3170 c(2.5% = 2562) c(97.5% = 3446)
66 2:30 PM 6598 c(2.5% = 5500) c(97.5% = 7288)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions